这一增长轨迹将进一步巩固太阳能作为台湾最主要可再生能源形式的地位。GlobalData预测,到2035年,台湾可再生能源总装机容量将达到约50.7吉瓦,较2024年的19.1吉瓦显著提升,其中光伏占比将超过61%。
GlobalData表示,台湾光伏增长将主要依托屋顶光伏推广计划、漂浮式光伏项目以及公用事业级电站建设。该地区已于今年5月完成核电退役,目前正将政策重心转向扩大可再生能源和灵活的燃气发电能力,以弥补基荷电源的缺口。数据显示,台湾的燃气发电装机容量预计将从2024年的约20.1吉瓦增长至2035年的约40.9吉瓦。
GlobalData电力分析师Mohammed Ziauddin表示,台湾正加大对光伏、储能、海上风电和电网升级的政策支持力度,以在孤立电力系统条件下,保障系统可靠性并满足不断增长的工业用电需求。
Ziauddin指出:“海上风电和光伏正在重塑台湾的发电结构,而在一个孤立且依赖进口的系统中,燃气发电仍是保障可靠性的关键。这一路径在支持台湾实现净零排放目标的同时,也有助于在2035年前维持电力系统的韧性。”
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